Beasain vs Real Sociedad III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 · Matchday 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estado Municipal de Loinaz, Beasain
The Footlab AI model makes Beasain the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Real Sociedad III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Beasain wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,708 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beasain vs Real Sociedad III?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Beasain (1,807) and Real Sociedad III (1,787).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Beasain vs Real Sociedad III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Beasain
Not enough data to predict the Beasain lineup.
Real Sociedad III
Not enough data to predict the Real Sociedad III lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 08:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beasain have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Real Sociedad III have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Amurrio Club(home) | 6-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Eibar III(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | R. Union B(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pasaia KE(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lagun Onak(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Erandio(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Sodupe(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés III(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Amurrio Club(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Beasain wins, 4 draws, 2 Real Sociedad III wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2023 | Real Sociedad III 1-0 Beasain | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Beasain 1-1 Real Sociedad III | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Beasain 2-2 Real Sociedad III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 13, 2020 | Real Sociedad III 1-0 Beasain | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Beasain 4-4 Real Sociedad III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Real Sociedad III 0-0 Beasain | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad III vs Beasain on Apr 16, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Beasain score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Sociedad III score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beasain | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Sociedad III | 2.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beasain sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (14 points from 10 matches) and Real Sociedad III sit 3rd (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Real Sociedad III | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 18 |
| 9 | Beasain | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 14 |
A question about Beasain vs Real Sociedad III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beasain vs Real Sociedad III?
- The Footlab AI model makes Beasain the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Real Sociedad III.
- Where and when is Beasain vs Real Sociedad III played?
- Beasain vs Real Sociedad III is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estado Municipal de Loinaz, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.