Real Sociedad III vs Durango: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo José Luis Orbegozo, Donostia-San Sebastián
The Footlab AI model makes Real Sociedad III the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Durango. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Sociedad III wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,972 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Sociedad III vs Durango?
On Elo ratings, Real Sociedad III has 1,781 points and Durango 1,746.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Sociedad III vs Durango
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Sociedad III
Not enough data to predict the Real Sociedad III lineup.
Durango
Not enough data to predict the Durango lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 04:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Sociedad III have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Durango have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Amurrio Club(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Eibar III(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | R. Union B(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pasaia KE(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lagun Onak(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Derio(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Touring(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Beasain(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Real Sociedad III wins, 0 draws, 0 Durango wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Real Sociedad III 4-0 Durango | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Durango 0-1 Real Sociedad III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 2, 2019 | Real Sociedad III 1-0 Durango | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad III vs Durango on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Sociedad III score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Durango score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad III | 2.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Durango | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Sociedad III sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (11 points from 7 matches) and Durango sit 10th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Real Sociedad III | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| 10 | Durango | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 10 |
A question about Real Sociedad III vs Durango?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Sociedad III vs Durango?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Sociedad III the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Durango.
- Where and when is Real Sociedad III vs Durango played?
- Real Sociedad III vs Durango is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo José Luis Orbegozo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.