Beira-Mar vs Alpendorada: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 23Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Aveiro, Aveiro
The Footlab AI model makes Beira-Mar the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Alpendorada. The most likely score is 1-1. If Beira-Mar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,619 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beira-Mar vs Alpendorada?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Beira-Mar (1,865) and Alpendorada (1,865).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Beira-Mar vs Alpendorada
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Beira-Mar
Not enough data to predict the Beira-Mar lineup.
Alpendorada
4-3-3- 11Jucélio
- 45Pauleta
- 93Nilo Souza
- 47M. Borges
- 8B. Tavares
- 10Jony
- 16Simão Melhôr
- 2H. Meireles
- 3G. Zuzarte
- 23Pepe
- 99Ricardo Jorge Oliveira Morais
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beira-Mar have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Alpendorada have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ovarense(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Castro Daire(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cinfães(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 28, 2026 | União Lamas(home) | 3-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cinfães(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mação(home) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Machico(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sanjoanense(away) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Rebordosa(away) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Beira-Mar wins, 1 draw, 0 Alpendorada wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Alpendorada 0-1 Beira-Mar | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Beira-Mar 1-1 Alpendorada | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Alpendorada 1-2 Beira-Mar | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Beira-Mar 2-0 Alpendorada | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Beira-Mar 2-1 Alpendorada | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Alpendorada 0-4 Beira-Mar | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Alpendorada vs Beira-Mar on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Beira-Mar score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alpendorada score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beira-Mar | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Alpendorada | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beira-Mar sit 10th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (3 points from 4 matches) and Alpendorada sit 11th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Beira-Mar | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | Alpendorada | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
A question about Beira-Mar vs Alpendorada?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beira-Mar vs Alpendorada?
- The Footlab AI model makes Beira-Mar the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Alpendorada.
- Where and when is Beira-Mar vs Alpendorada played?
- Beira-Mar vs Alpendorada is played on March 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Aveiro, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.