Alpendorada vs Salgueiros: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 24Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Alpendorada, Alpendurada e Matos
The Footlab AI model makes Alpendorada the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Salgueiros. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alpendorada wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alpendorada vs Salgueiros?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Alpendorada (1,865) and Salgueiros (1,899).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alpendorada vs Salgueiros
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alpendorada
4-3-3- 11Jucélio
- 45Pauleta
- 93Nilo Souza
- 47M. Borges
- 8B. Tavares
- 10Jony
- 16Simão Melhôr
- 2H. Meireles
- 3G. Zuzarte
- 23Pepe
- 99Ricardo Jorge Oliveira Morais
Salgueiros
Not enough data to predict the Salgueiros lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alpendorada have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Salgueiros have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cinfães(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mação(home) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Machico(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sanjoanense(away) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Rebordosa(away) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Castro Daire(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cinfães(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Machico(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Sousense(home) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Alpendorada win, 1 draw, 4 Salgueiros wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Salgueiros 0-2 Alpendorada | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Alpendorada 1-2 Salgueiros | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Salgueiros 0-0 Alpendorada | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Alpendorada 0-1 Salgueiros | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Alpendorada 0-1 Salgueiros | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Salgueiros 5-4 Alpendorada | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Salgueiros vs Alpendorada on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alpendorada score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Salgueiros score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alpendorada | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Salgueiros | 0.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alpendorada sit 11th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (3 points from 4 matches) and Salgueiros sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Salgueiros | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | Alpendorada | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
A question about Alpendorada vs Salgueiros?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alpendorada vs Salgueiros?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alpendorada the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Salgueiros.
- Where and when is Alpendorada vs Salgueiros played?
- Alpendorada vs Salgueiros is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Alpendorada, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.