Beira-Mar vs Sousense: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 6Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Aveiro, Aveiro
The Footlab AI model makes Beira-Mar the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Sousense. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beira-Mar vs Sousense?
Beira-Mar starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,912 vs 1,789).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Beira-Mar vs Sousense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Beira-Mar
Not enough data to predict the Beira-Mar lineup.
Sousense
Not enough data to predict the Sousense lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 01:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beira-Mar have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Sousense have 2, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ovarense(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Castro Daire(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cinfães(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 28, 2026 | União Lamas(home) | 3-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | União Lamas(home) | 3-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ovarense(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Salgueiros(away) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Castro Daire(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cinfães(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Beira-Mar score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sousense score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beira-Mar | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Sousense | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 4/10 | 5/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beira-Mar sit 10th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (3 points from 4 matches) and Sousense sit 14th (1 point from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Beira-Mar | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Sousense | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
A question about Beira-Mar vs Sousense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beira-Mar vs Sousense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Beira-Mar the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Sousense.
- Where and when is Beira-Mar vs Sousense played?
- Beira-Mar vs Sousense is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Aveiro, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.