Camacha vs Sanjoanense: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 6Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Complexo Desportivo da Camacha, Camacha (Ilha da Madeira)
The Footlab AI model makes Camacha the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Sanjoanense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Camacha wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Camacha vs Sanjoanense?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Camacha (1,909) and Sanjoanense (1,927).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Camacha vs Sanjoanense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Camacha
Not enough data to predict the Camacha lineup.
Sanjoanense
Not enough data to predict the Sanjoanense lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Camacha have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sanjoanense have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | União Lamas(away) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Florgrade(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Guarda(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Florgrade(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Machico(away) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Guarda(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ançã(away) | 4-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Florgrade(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Alpendorada(home) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Pacos de Brandao(home) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Camacha score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sanjoanense score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camacha | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Sanjoanense | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Camacha sit 3rd in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (8 points from 4 matches) and Sanjoanense sit 4th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Camacha | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Sanjoanense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
A question about Camacha vs Sanjoanense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Camacha vs Sanjoanense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Camacha the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Sanjoanense.
- Where and when is Camacha vs Sanjoanense played?
- Camacha vs Sanjoanense is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Complexo Desportivo da Camacha, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.