Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Teddi Malcha Stadium, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes Beitar Jerusalem the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Maccabi Petah Tikva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?
Beitar Jerusalem starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (2,079 vs 1,875).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beitar Jerusalem have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Maccabi Petah Tikva have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 3-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Austria Vienna(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 2-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(away) | 3-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(home) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(away) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(home) | 1-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Beitar Jerusalem win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Maccabi Petah Tikva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | Maccabi Petah Tikva 1-2 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Beitar Jerusalem 5-0 Maccabi Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Maccabi Petah Tikva 1-4 Beitar Jerusalem | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| May 20, 2024 | Beitar Jerusalem 1-1 Maccabi Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Maccabi Petah Tikva 0-3 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 31, 2023 | Beitar Jerusalem 3-2 Maccabi Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem on Mar 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Beitar Jerusalem score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Petah Tikva score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beitar Jerusalem | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?
- The Footlab model makes Beitar Jerusalem the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Maccabi Petah Tikva.
- Where and when is Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva played?
- Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva is played on September 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Teddi Malcha Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.