Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Hapoel Tel Aviv. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Maccabi Tel Aviv (2,088) and Hapoel Tel Aviv (2,057).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Tel Aviv have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Tel Aviv have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Lugano(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 13, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sheriff Tiraspol(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 12, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Maccabi Tel Aviv win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Tel Aviv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-2 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv | State Cup |
| Jan 17, 2024 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-2 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-5 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel Aviv on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Tel Aviv score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Tel Aviv score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Tel Aviv sit 3rd in Ligat Ha'al (66 points from 36 matches) and Hapoel Tel Aviv sit 4th (60 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 75 | 46 | 66 |
| 4 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 55 | 38 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Hapoel Tel Aviv.
- Where and when is Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv played?
- Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv is played on September 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Bloomfield Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.