Match

Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 31Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium Nahariya, Nahariya

Beitar NahariyaHapoel Migdal HaEmek

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Beitar Nahariya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?

A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Beitar Nahariya (1,656) and Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (1,710).

Beitar Nahariya win32 %
Draw26 %
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Beitar Nahariya have 9 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Beitar Nahariya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 13, 2024Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil(home)4-0State Cup
Jan 9, 2024Dimona(home)1-6State Cup
Dec 26, 2023Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(home)1-0State Cup
Sep 18, 2023Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home)4-2State Cup
Sep 13, 2023Ahli Tamra(home)3-1State Cup
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Tzeirey Tamra(away)2-0Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026Ironi Nesher(home)3-0Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away)2-4Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home)3-1Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away)0-0Liga Alef

How many goals should we expect?

Beitar Nahariya score 2.2 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 14; Hapoel Migdal HaEmek score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Beitar Nahariya2.22.467/1410/14
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek1.81.077/159/15

Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Hapoel Migdal HaEmek22877292331

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Beitar Nahariya.
Where and when is Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek played?
Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek is played on March 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium Nahariya, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Beitar Nahariya and Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

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