Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 31Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)HaShalom Stadium, Umm al-Fahm
The Footlab model makes Maccabi K. Ata Bialik the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (1,657) and Maccabi K. Ata Bialik (1,745).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Maccabi K. Ata Bialik have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 5-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 1-1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0-3 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | State Cup |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 1-3 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
| Feb 26, 2024 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 2-1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0-1 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm on Nov 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi K. Ata Bialik score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm sit 10th in Liga Alef (30 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi K. Ata Bialik sit 3rd (38 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 35 | 21 | 38 |
| 10 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi K. Ata Bialik the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm.
- Where and when is Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik played?
- Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik is played on March 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at HaShalom Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2027Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Mar 27, 2027Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsIroni Nesher
- Mar 27, 2027Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Mar 27, 2027Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Mar 27, 2027Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Mar 27, 2027Hapoel Beit SheanvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Mar 27, 2027Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsTira
- Mar 27, 2027Tzeirey TamravsHapoel Ironi Arraba