Match

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 31Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Tirat Carmel

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelMaccabi Neve Sha'anan

The Footlab model makes Maccabi Neve Sha'anan the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan?

Maccabi Neve Sha'anan starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,674 vs 1,521).

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win20 %
Draw23 %
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan win56 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Maccabi Neve Sha'anan have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 19, 2026Hapoel Beit Shean(home)0-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Tzeirey Tamra(home)0-2Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Ironi Nesher(away)1-1Liga Alef
Jan 23, 2026Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home)1-2Liga Alef
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away)2-1Liga Alef
Feb 21, 2026Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home)3-5Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(home)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away)1-4Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home)0-0Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Maccabi Neve Sha'anan win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 11, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'anan 2-0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelLiga Alef
Sep 30, 2025Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0-1 Maccabi Neve Sha'ananState Cup

Last archived meeting: Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel on Jan 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Neve Sha'anan score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel0.61.917/156/15
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan1.61.5410/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th in Liga Alef (12 points from 21 matches) and Maccabi Neve Sha'anan sit 4th (36 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Maccabi Neve Sha'anan221066342936
15Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel213315164212

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan?
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Neve Sha'anan the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
Where and when is Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan played?
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan is played on March 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel and Maccabi Neve Sha'anan

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