Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 31Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Tirat Carmel
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Neve Sha'anan the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan?
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,674 vs 1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Maccabi Neve Sha'anan have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home) | 3-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Maccabi Neve Sha'anan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan 2-0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | Liga Alef |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0-1 Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Neve Sha'anan score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th in Liga Alef (12 points from 21 matches) and Maccabi Neve Sha'anan sit 4th (36 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 36 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 42 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Neve Sha'anan the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
- Where and when is Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan played?
- Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan is played on March 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2027Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Mar 27, 2027Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsIroni Nesher
- Mar 27, 2027Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Mar 27, 2027Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Mar 27, 2027Hapoel Beit SheanvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Mar 27, 2027Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsTira
- Mar 27, 2027Tzeirey TamravsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Mar 27, 2027Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik