Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 31Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Baqa al-Gharbiyye Stadium, Baqa al-Gharbiyye
The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,701 vs 1,515).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Baka El Garbiya have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ironi Baka El Garbiya win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 2-1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 3-0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 2-2 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 2-0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
| Feb 26, 2024 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 1-2 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 2-0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya sit 9th in Liga Alef (31 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed sit 14th (17 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 31 |
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed?
- The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed.
- Where and when is Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed played?
- Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed is played on March 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Baqa al-Gharbiyye Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2027Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Mar 27, 2027Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsIroni Nesher
- Mar 27, 2027Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Mar 27, 2027Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Mar 27, 2027Hapoel Beit SheanvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Mar 27, 2027Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsTira
- Mar 27, 2027Tzeirey TamravsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Mar 27, 2027Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik