Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Sderot: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 26Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Sderot the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Beitar Yavne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Sderot?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Beitar Yavne (1,610) and Hapoel Sderot (1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beitar Yavne have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Hapoel Sderot have 2, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(away) | 1-2 | State Cup |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Hapoel Hadera(away) | 4-3 | State Cup |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Araba(home) | 2-1 | State Cup |
| Oct 2, 2018 | Maccabi Yavne(home) | 0-4 | State Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Beitar Yavne score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Sderot score 1.8 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beitar Yavne | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Sderot | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0 | 3/4 | 4/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Beitar Yavne | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Sderot?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Sderot the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Beitar Yavne.
- Where and when is Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Sderot played?
- Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Sderot is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Feb 26, 2027Hapoel HaderavsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Feb 26, 2027Holon YermiyahuvsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Feb 26, 2027FC JerusalemvsHapoel Azor
- Feb 27, 2027Hapoel MarmorekvsTzeirey Tira
- Feb 27, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsDimona
- Feb 27, 2027Shimshon Tel AvivvsMaccabi Yavne
- Feb 27, 2027Kfar Saba 1928vsNordia Jerusalem