Hapoel Marmorek vs Tzeirey Tira: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 26Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, Rehovot
The Footlab model makes Tzeirey Tira the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Marmorek vs Tzeirey Tira?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Hapoel Marmorek (1,608) and Tzeirey Tira (1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Marmorek have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Tzeirey Tira have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Dimona(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(home) | 5-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Hapoel Marmorek win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Tzeirey Tira win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira 0-0 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Tzeirey Tira 1-1 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Hapoel Marmorek 1-0 Tzeirey Tira | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Tzeirey Tira vs Hapoel Marmorek on Jan 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tzeirey Tira score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Marmorek | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Tzeirey Tira | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Marmorek sit 12th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Tzeirey Tira sit 6th (33 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tzeirey Tira | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 33 |
| 12 | Hapoel Marmorek | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 34 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Marmorek vs Tzeirey Tira?
- The Footlab model makes Tzeirey Tira the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Hapoel Marmorek.
- Where and when is Hapoel Marmorek vs Tzeirey Tira played?
- Hapoel Marmorek vs Tzeirey Tira is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 26, 2027Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsMaccabi Ashdod
- Feb 26, 2027Hapoel HaderavsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Feb 26, 2027Holon YermiyahuvsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Feb 26, 2027FC JerusalemvsHapoel Azor
- Feb 27, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsDimona
- Feb 27, 2027Shimshon Tel AvivvsMaccabi Yavne
- Feb 27, 2027Beitar YavnevsHapoel Sderot
- Feb 27, 2027Kfar Saba 1928vsNordia Jerusalem