Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 26Kick-off on February 26, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Netanya Stadium, Netanya
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Hadera the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Hapoel Hadera (1,628) and Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (1,562).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Hadera have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-6 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(away) | 0-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 14, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(home) | 3-3 | Liga Leumit |
| May 8, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 5, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(home) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | Hapoel Hod HaSharon(away) | 1-5 | State Cup |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Agudat Sport Ashdod(away) | 0-1 | State Cup |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Hapoel Kiryat Ono(away) | 2-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel(home) | 3-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla(away) | 4-2 | State Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Hadera score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Hadera | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Hadera the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda.
- Where and when is Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda played?
- Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda is played on February 26, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Netanya Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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