Match

Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 26Kick-off on February 26, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Holon Municipal Stadium, Holon

Holon YermiyahuMaccabi Kiryat Malachi

The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Holon Yermiyahu (1,655) and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (1,645).

Holon Yermiyahu win37 %
Draw27 %
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holon Yermiyahu have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Maccabi Kiryat Malachi have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holon Yermiyahu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Maccabi Yavne(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Beitar Yavne(home)1-0Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Shimshon Tel Aviv(away)0-2Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(home)1-2Liga Alef
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Holon Yermiyahu(away)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Beitar Yavne(home)1-0Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Azor(home)1-0Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026FC Jerusalem(away)2-1Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Holon Yermiyahu win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Holon Yermiyahu 0-0 Maccabi Kiryat MalachiLiga Alef
Oct 31, 2025Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1-0 Holon YermiyahuLiga Alef
Feb 7, 2025Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1-1 Holon YermiyahuLiga Alef
Oct 9, 2024Holon Yermiyahu 2-1 Maccabi Kiryat MalachiLiga Alef
Apr 14, 2024Holon Yermiyahu 3-1 Maccabi Kiryat MalachiLiga Alef
Jan 26, 2024Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 0-2 Holon YermiyahuLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi on Feb 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Kiryat Malachi score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Holon Yermiyahu1.31.549/158/15
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi1.11.439/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi sit 5th (35 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Maccabi Kiryat Malachi221057272735
11Holon Yermiyahu226610303324

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi.
Where and when is Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi played?
Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi is played on February 26, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Holon Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Holon Yermiyahu and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi

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