Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 26Kick-off on February 26, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Holon Municipal Stadium, Holon
The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Holon Yermiyahu (1,655) and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holon Yermiyahu have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Maccabi Kiryat Malachi have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Holon Yermiyahu win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu 0-0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1-0 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1-1 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Holon Yermiyahu 2-1 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Holon Yermiyahu 3-1 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Jan 26, 2024 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 0-2 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Kiryat Malachi score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holon Yermiyahu | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi sit 5th (35 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 35 |
| 11 | Holon Yermiyahu | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 33 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
- The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi.
- Where and when is Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi played?
- Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi is played on February 26, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Holon Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 26, 2027Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsMaccabi Ashdod
- Feb 26, 2027Hapoel HaderavsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Feb 26, 2027FC JerusalemvsHapoel Azor
- Feb 27, 2027Hapoel MarmorekvsTzeirey Tira
- Feb 27, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsDimona
- Feb 27, 2027Shimshon Tel AvivvsMaccabi Yavne
- Feb 27, 2027Beitar YavnevsHapoel Sderot
- Feb 27, 2027Kfar Saba 1928vsNordia Jerusalem