Beith vs Gretna 2008: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bellsdale Park, Beith
The Footlab model makes Beith the favourite at 65%, against 17% for a draw and 18% for Gretna 2008. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beith vs Gretna 2008?
Beith starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (1,576 vs 1,368).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Beith have 5 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Gretna 2008 have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Troon FC(home) | 1-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(away) | 1-7 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Caledonian Braves(home) | 2-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kilwinning Rangers(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Cumnock Juniors(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 1-7 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(home) | 3-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kilwinning Rangers(home) | 1-5 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Troon FC(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Newton Stewart(home) | 3-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Beith score 2.2 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 11; Gretna 2008 score 1.3 and concede 3.3. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beith | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1 | 10/11 | 11/11 |
| Gretna 2008 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beith sit 19th in Football League - Lowland League (7 points from 6 matches) and Gretna 2008 sit 25th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Beith | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 7 |
| 25 | Gretna 2008 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beith vs Gretna 2008?
- The Footlab model makes Beith the favourite at 65%, against 17% for a draw and 18% for Gretna 2008.
- Where and when is Beith vs Gretna 2008 played?
- Beith vs Gretna 2008 is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bellsdale Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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