Where and when is Bembibre vs Cultural Leonesa II played?

Bembibre vs Cultural Leonesa II is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bembibre vs Cultural Leonesa II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, Bembibre

Bembibre

Cultural Leonesa II

The Footlab model makes Bembibre the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Cultural Leonesa II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bembibre vs Cultural Leonesa II?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Bembibre (1,657) and Cultural Leonesa II (1,745).

Bembibre win42 %

Draw27 %

Cultural Leonesa II win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bembibre have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Cultural Leonesa II have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bembibre
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Palencia CF(away)	1-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Becerril Campos(home)	4-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Arandina(away)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Mirandés II(away)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026	UD Santa Marta(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Cultural Leonesa II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Sporting Gijón II(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Atlético Mansillés(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026	Numancia II(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Cristo Atlético(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bembibre win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Cultural Leonesa II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 1, 2026	Bembibre 0-1 Cultural Leonesa II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 21, 2025	Cultural Leonesa II 1-2 Bembibre	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 29, 2025	Cultural Leonesa II 3-1 Bembibre	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 10, 2024	Bembibre 0-1 Cultural Leonesa II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 9, 2024	Cultural Leonesa II 4-1 Bembibre	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 22, 2023	Bembibre 0-1 Cultural Leonesa II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Bembibre vs Cultural Leonesa II on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bembibre score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cultural Leonesa II score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bembibre	1.3	1.6	5	9/15	8/15
Cultural Leonesa II	1.3	1.5	5	5/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bembibre sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (34 points from 34 matches) and Cultural Leonesa II sit 10th (42 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Cultural Leonesa II	34	12	6	16	38	43	42
14	Bembibre	34	8	10	16	38	52	34

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bembibre vs Cultural Leonesa II?: The Footlab model makes Bembibre the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Cultural Leonesa II.
Where and when is Bembibre vs Cultural Leonesa II played?: Bembibre vs Cultural Leonesa II is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.