Atlético Mansillés vs Palencia CF: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 11Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, Mansilla de las Mulas
The Footlab AI model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Atlético Mansillés. The most likely score is 1-1. If Palencia CF wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,364 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Mansillés vs Palencia CF?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Atlético Mansillés (1,753) and Palencia CF (1,807).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Mansillés vs Palencia CF
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Mansillés
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Mansillés lineup.
Palencia CF
Not enough data to predict the Palencia CF lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 03:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Mansillés have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Palencia CF have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Villaralbo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Unionistas II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Bembibre(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Turégano(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Calasanz de Soria(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Salamanca II(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Atlético Mansillés wins, 1 draw, 1 Palencia CF win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés 2-1 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Palencia CF 1-1 Atlético Mansillés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Atlético Mansillés 2-1 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Palencia CF 1-0 Atlético Mansillés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Mansillés vs Palencia CF on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Mansillés score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Palencia CF score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Mansillés | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Palencia CF | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Mansillés sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (13 points from 9 matches) and Palencia CF sit 5th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Palencia CF | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 17 |
| 11 | Atlético Mansillés | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
A question about Atlético Mansillés vs Palencia CF?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Mansillés vs Palencia CF?
- The Footlab AI model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Atlético Mansillés.
- Where and when is Atlético Mansillés vs Palencia CF played?
- Atlético Mansillés vs Palencia CF is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026La Virgen del CaminovsVillaralbo
- Nov 14, 2026Mirandés IIvsSalamanca II
- Nov 14, 2026TuréganovsUD Santa Marta
- Nov 14, 2026Unionistas IIvsArandina
- Nov 14, 2026GuijuelovsColegios Diocesanos
- Nov 14, 2026Cristo AtléticovsBurgos Promesas
- Nov 15, 2026Calasanz de SoriavsAlmazán
- Nov 15, 2026BembibrevsCultural Leonesa II