Where and when is Atlético Mansillés vs Palencia CF played?

Atlético Mansillés vs Palencia CF is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Atlético Mansillés vs Palencia CF: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, Mansilla de las Mulas

Atlético Mansillés

Palencia CF

The Footlab model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Palencia CF. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Mansillés vs Palencia CF?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Atlético Mansillés (1,785) and Palencia CF (1,808).

Atlético Mansillés win40 %

Draw29 %

Palencia CF win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Mansillés have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Palencia CF have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Mansillés
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Cultural Leonesa II(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Mojados(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Almazán(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 23, 2026	Almazán(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Palencia CF(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Palencia CF
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Sporting Gijón II(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Guijuelo(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 31, 2026	Guijuelo(home)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 23, 2026	Cristo Atlético(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 17, 2026	Cristo Atlético(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Atlético Mansillés win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Palencia CF win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Atlético Mansillés 2-1 Palencia CF	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Dec 13, 2025	Palencia CF 1-1 Atlético Mansillés	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Feb 15, 2025	Atlético Mansillés 2-1 Palencia CF	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 5, 2024	Palencia CF 1-0 Atlético Mansillés	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Atlético Mansillés vs Palencia CF on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Mansillés score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Palencia CF score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Atlético Mansillés	0.9	0.9	7	5/15	3/15
Palencia CF	1.7	1.5	2	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atlético Mansillés sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (57 points from 34 matches) and Palencia CF sit 4th (64 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Palencia CF	34	20	4	10	59	39	64
6	Atlético Mansillés	34	15	12	7	31	27	57

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Mansillés vs Palencia CF?: The Footlab model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Palencia CF.
Where and when is Atlético Mansillés vs Palencia CF played?: Atlético Mansillés vs Palencia CF is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.