Where and when is Burgos Promesas vs Bembibre played?

Burgos Promesas vs Bembibre is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Burgos Promesas vs Bembibre: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares, Burgos

Burgos Promesas

Bembibre

The Footlab model makes Burgos Promesas the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Bembibre. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Burgos Promesas vs Bembibre?

Burgos Promesas starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,818 vs 1,657).

Burgos Promesas win59 %

Draw24 %

Bembibre win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgos Promesas have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Bembibre have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Burgos Promesas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Real Valladolid II(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Salamanca UDS(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 18, 2026	Atlético Astorga(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Coruxo(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	1-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Bembibre
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Palencia CF(away)	1-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Becerril Campos(home)	4-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Arandina(away)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Mirandés II(away)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026	UD Santa Marta(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Burgos Promesas win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Bembibre win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 17, 2025	Bembibre 0-0 Burgos Promesas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 30, 2024	Burgos Promesas 3-1 Bembibre	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 17, 2024	Bembibre 1-1 Burgos Promesas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 29, 2023	Burgos Promesas 1-2 Bembibre	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 13, 2019	Burgos Promesas 3-0 Bembibre	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Bembibre vs Burgos Promesas on Apr 17, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Burgos Promesas score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bembibre score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Burgos Promesas	1.0	1.5	5	7/15	6/15
Bembibre	1.3	1.6	5	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Bembibre	34	8	10	16	38	52	34

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Burgos Promesas vs Bembibre?: The Footlab model makes Burgos Promesas the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Bembibre.
Where and when is Burgos Promesas vs Bembibre played?: Burgos Promesas vs Bembibre is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.