Match

Burgos Promesas vs Bembibre: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares, Burgos

Burgos PromesasBembibre

The Footlab AI model makes Burgos Promesas the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Bembibre. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,263 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Burgos Promesas vs Bembibre?

Burgos Promesas starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,860 vs 1,728).

55%26%19%
Burgos Promesas winDrawBembibre win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Burgos Promesas vs Bembibre

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Burgos Promesas

4-3-3
  1. EEthan
  2. 20Fermin Garcia
  3. 39G. Nsukula
  1. 32Hugo Pascual
  2. 26L. Lečić
  3. 28Mario Cantero
  1. IIván Martínez
  2. 34Hugo Rastrilla
  3. 30O. El Goumiri
  4. DDani Ruiz
  1. 37Marc Monedero

Bembibre

Not enough data to predict the Bembibre lineup.

Computed on October 24, 2026 at 03:13 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgos Promesas have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Bembibre have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Burgos Promesas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Almazán(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 11, 2026UD Santa Marta(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 3, 2026Mirandés II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 27, 2026Cultural Leonesa II(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 20, 2026Palencia CF(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Arandina(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 10, 2026Unionistas II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 4, 2026La Virgen del Camino(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 27, 2026Guijuelo(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 20, 2026Atlético Mansillés(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Burgos Promesas wins, 2 draws, 1 Bembibre win.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 17, 2025Bembibre 0-0 Burgos PromesasTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 30, 2024Burgos Promesas 3-1 BembibreTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 17, 2024Bembibre 1-1 Burgos PromesasTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 29, 2023Burgos Promesas 1-2 BembibreTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 13, 2019Burgos Promesas 3-0 BembibreTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Bembibre vs Burgos Promesas on Apr 17, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Burgos Promesas score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bembibre score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Burgos Promesas1.30.985/156/15
Bembibre1.71.7212/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Burgos Promesas sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (14 points from 7 matches) and Bembibre sit 4th (14 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Burgos Promesas742110314
4Bembibre742110614

A question about Burgos Promesas vs Bembibre?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Burgos Promesas vs Bembibre?
The Footlab AI model makes Burgos Promesas the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Bembibre.
Where and when is Burgos Promesas vs Bembibre played?
Burgos Promesas vs Bembibre is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Burgos Promesas and Bembibre

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