Match

Bendel Insurance vs Doma United: prediction and stats

NPFLMatchday 14Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Uniben Sport Complex, Benin City

Bendel InsuranceDoma United

The Footlab AI model makes Bendel Insurance the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Doma United. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,194 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bendel Insurance vs Doma United?

Bendel Insurance starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,693 vs 1,577).

73%18%9%
Bendel Insurance winDrawDoma United win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bendel Insurance vs Doma United

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bendel Insurance

4-3-3
  1. 11C. Nwosu
  2. 21K. Oke Solomon
  3. 37E. Ubiomo
  1. 4E. Julius
  2. 8F. Abdullahi
  3. 10J. Mairiga
  1. 28G. Lekan
  2. 14D. Chigozie
  3. 23S. Okoroma
  4. 35C. Amaefule
  1. 12A. Obasogie

Doma United

Not enough data to predict the Doma United lineup.

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bendel Insurance have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Doma United have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bendel Insurance
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 13, 2026Shooting Stars(away)1-2NPFL
Nov 8, 2026Niger Tornadoes(home)2-1NPFL
Nov 4, 2026Enugu Rangers(away)0-1NPFL
Nov 1, 2026Kwara United(away)2-1NPFL
Oct 25, 2026Rivers United(home)2-1NPFL
Doma United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Barau FC(home)0-0NPFL
Nov 8, 2026Abia Warriors(away)2-2NPFL
Oct 31, 2026Ikorodu City(home)2-2NPFL
Oct 17, 2026Kun Khalifat FC(home)1-1NPFL
Oct 11, 2026Nasarawa United(away)0-2NPFL

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Bendel Insurance win, 1 draw, 0 Doma United wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 17, 2024Bendel Insurance 4-0 Doma UnitedNPFL
Nov 8, 2023Doma United 0-0 Bendel InsuranceNPFL

Last archived meeting: Bendel Insurance vs Doma United on Mar 17, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Bendel Insurance score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Doma United score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bendel Insurance1.81.5012/1513/15
Doma United1.11.357/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bendel Insurance sit 3rd in NPFL (21 points from 13 matches) and Doma United sit 8th (17 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Bendel Insurance13706211921
8Doma United12453151517

A question about Bendel Insurance vs Doma United?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bendel Insurance vs Doma United?
The Footlab AI model makes Bendel Insurance the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Doma United.
Where and when is Bendel Insurance vs Doma United played?
Bendel Insurance vs Doma United is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Uniben Sport Complex, in the NPFL.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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