Match

Sporting Lagos vs Kwara United: prediction and stats

NPFLMatchday 14Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)

Sporting LagosKwara United

The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Lagos the favourite at 69%, against 21% for a draw and 10% for Kwara United. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,194 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sporting Lagos vs Kwara United?

On Elo ratings, Sporting Lagos has 1,623 points and Kwara United 1,605.

69%21%10%
Sporting Lagos winDrawKwara United win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sporting Lagos vs Kwara United

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sporting Lagos

Not enough data to predict the Sporting Lagos lineup.

Kwara United

4-3-3
  1. 24E. Ekpeyong
  2. 22Benjamin Jack
  3. 18A. Gata
  1. 4P. Ozor
  2. 8T. Gidado
  3. 14N. Anthony
  1. 12J. Ogbonnaya
  2. 26O. Saheed
  3. 39Aliyu Abubakar
  4. 25Peace Dewan
  1. 1S. Ayeleso

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 08:08 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Lagos have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Kwara United have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sporting Lagos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Katsina United(away)1-2NPFL
Oct 18, 2026Plateau United(away)3-2NPFL
Oct 11, 2026Bendel Insurance(home)2-1NPFL
Oct 3, 2026Kano Pillars(away)1-1NPFL
Sep 30, 2026Ikorodu City(home)0-0NPFL
Kwara United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Enugu Rangers(away)0-1NPFL
Nov 1, 2026Bendel Insurance(home)1-2NPFL
Oct 25, 2026Barau FC(away)1-1NPFL
Oct 17, 2026Abia Warriors(home)1-1NPFL
Oct 10, 2026Ikorodu City(away)0-2NPFL

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sporting Lagos win, 0 draws, 1 Kwara United win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 17, 2024Sporting Lagos 2-0 Kwara UnitedNPFL
Nov 1, 2023Kwara United 2-1 Sporting LagosNPFL

Last archived meeting: Sporting Lagos vs Kwara United on Mar 17, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Sporting Lagos score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kwara United score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sporting Lagos1.31.339/158/15
Kwara United0.91.326/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sporting Lagos sit 13th in NPFL (15 points from 10 matches) and Kwara United sit 16th (12 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Sporting Lagos10433141315
16Kwara United12336121412

A question about Sporting Lagos vs Kwara United?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sporting Lagos vs Kwara United?
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Lagos the favourite at 69%, against 21% for a draw and 10% for Kwara United.
Where and when is Sporting Lagos vs Kwara United played?
Sporting Lagos vs Kwara United is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the NPFL.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round