Match

Nasarawa United vs Warri Wolves: prediction and stats

NPFLMatchday 14Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Lafia Township Stadium, Lafia

Nasarawa UnitedWarri Wolves

The Footlab AI model makes Nasarawa United the favourite at 71%, against 22% for a draw and 7% for Warri Wolves. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,194 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nasarawa United vs Warri Wolves?

On Elo ratings, Nasarawa United has 1,674 points and Warri Wolves 1,596.

71%22%7%
Nasarawa United winDrawWarri Wolves win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Nasarawa United vs Warri Wolves

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Nasarawa United

4-3-3
  1. 17L. Ugochukwu
  2. 28A. Dabani
  3. 8U. Ada
  1. 6A. Abdullahi
  2. 35J. Istifanus
  3. 25K. Ogbodo
  1. 4C. Nduka
  2. 5H. Ebah
  3. 29S. Dapma
  4. 27A. Odinaka
  1. 31C. Olughu

Warri Wolves

4-3-3
  1. 28C. Orji
  2. 8Uche Sabastine
  3. 10O. Egbo
  1. 6D. Joseph
  2. 27S. Mayi
  3. 22Y. Omotayo
  1. 18E. Uzoechi
  2. 24C. Ogbun
  3. 14E. Bakare
  4. 34T. Emonena
  1. 1B. Adeniyi

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 08:08 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nasarawa United have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Warri Wolves have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nasarawa United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Plateau United(home)3-1NPFL
Nov 1, 2026Kano Pillars(away)0-2NPFL
Oct 25, 2026Enyimba(home)1-0NPFL
Oct 18, 2026Inter Lagos(away)2-0NPFL
Oct 11, 2026Doma United(home)2-0NPFL
Warri Wolves
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Katsina United(home)1-1NPFL
Nov 1, 2026Plateau United(away)1-1NPFL
Oct 25, 2026Kano Pillars(home)0-0NPFL
Oct 18, 2026Enyimba(away)0-0NPFL
Oct 11, 2026Inter Lagos(home)3-1NPFL

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nasarawa United wins, 0 draws, 3 Warri Wolves wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Nasarawa United 3-0 Warri WolvesNPFL
Nov 30, 2025Warri Wolves 1-0 Nasarawa UnitedNPFL
Jun 9, 2021Nasarawa United 3-1 Warri WolvesNPFL
Jan 24, 2021Warri Wolves 1-2 Nasarawa UnitedNPFL
Jan 20, 2020Nasarawa United 1-2 Warri WolvesNPFL
Sep 4, 2016Warri Wolves 1-0 Nasarawa UnitedNPFL

Last archived meeting: Nasarawa United vs Warri Wolves on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nasarawa United score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Warri Wolves score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 26% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nasarawa United1.31.068/156/15
Warri Wolves0.70.955/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nasarawa United sit 5th in NPFL (20 points from 12 matches) and Warri Wolves sit 14th (14 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Nasarawa United12624141120
14Warri Wolves123548914

A question about Nasarawa United vs Warri Wolves?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nasarawa United vs Warri Wolves?
The Footlab AI model makes Nasarawa United the favourite at 71%, against 22% for a draw and 7% for Warri Wolves.
Where and when is Nasarawa United vs Warri Wolves played?
Nasarawa United vs Warri Wolves is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Lafia Township Stadium, in the NPFL.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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