Benfica vs GIL Vicente: prediction and stats
Taça da LigaQuarter-finalsKick-off on October 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz), Lisboa
The Footlab AI model makes Benfica the favourite at 82%, against 13% for a draw and 5% for GIL Vicente. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Benfica vs GIL Vicente?
Benfica is a heavy favourite: 2,466 Elo points against 2,133, a 333-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Benfica vs GIL Vicente
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Benfica
4-2-3-1- 14V. Pavlidis
- 27Rafa
- 25G. Prestianni
- 10H. Sudakov
- 36João Palhinha
- 8F. Aursnes
- 44Tomás Araújo
- 2C. Lenglet
- 26S. Dahl
- 6A. Bah
- 24Samuel Soares
GIL Vicente
4-2-3-1- 23Héctor Hernández
- 20Gil Pinto Martins
- 77Murilo
- 12A. Lausen
- 86Diogo Ferreira Prioste
- 10Santi García
- 39Jonathan Buatu
- 4M. Elimbi Gilbert
- 47Ricardo Esgaio
- 45David Moreira
- 30Lucão
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Benfica have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; GIL Vicente have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | FC Porto(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AC Milan(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | GIL Vicente(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Maritimo(away) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Maritimo(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Academico Viseu(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Famalicao(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Benfica wins, 0 draws, 0 GIL Vicente wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Benfica 3-1 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 2, 2026 | GIL Vicente 1-2 Benfica | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Benfica 2-1 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 28, 2025 | GIL Vicente 0-3 Benfica | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Benfica 5-1 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Benfica 3-0 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Benfica vs GIL Vicente on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Benfica score 3.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; GIL Vicente score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 3.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| GIL Vicente | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Benfica vs GIL Vicente?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Benfica vs GIL Vicente?
- The Footlab AI model makes Benfica the favourite at 82%, against 13% for a draw and 5% for GIL Vicente.
- Where and when is Benfica vs GIL Vicente played?
- Benfica vs GIL Vicente is played on October 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz), in the Taça da Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.