FC Porto vs Academico Viseu: prediction and stats
Taça da LigaQuarter-finalsKick-off on October 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
The Footlab model makes FC Porto the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Academico Viseu. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Porto vs Academico Viseu?
FC Porto is a heavy favourite: 2,353 Elo points against 1,996 — a 357-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Porto have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Academico Viseu have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rio Ave(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alverca(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 1-0 | Super Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maritimo(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Santa Clara(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 FC Porto win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Academico Viseu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2023 | Academico Viseu 0-1 FC Porto | Taça de Portugal |
| Jan 25, 2023 | FC Porto 3-0 Academico Viseu | Taça da Liga |
| Jul 17, 2021 | FC Porto 3-2 Academico Viseu | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 12, 2020 | FC Porto 3-0 Academico Viseu | Taça de Portugal |
| Feb 4, 2020 | Academico Viseu 1-1 FC Porto | Taça de Portugal |
Last archived meeting: Academico Viseu vs FC Porto on Feb 8, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
FC Porto score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Academico Viseu score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Academico Viseu | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Porto vs Academico Viseu?
- The Footlab model makes FC Porto the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Academico Viseu.
- Where and when is FC Porto vs Academico Viseu played?
- FC Porto vs Academico Viseu is played on October 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Do Dragão, in the Taça da Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.