SC Braga vs Famalicao: prediction and stats
Taça da LigaQuarter-finalsKick-off on October 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
The Footlab AI model makes SC Braga the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Famalicao. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Braga vs Famalicao?
SC Braga starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (2,335 vs 2,210).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SC Braga vs Famalicao
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SC Braga
3-4-3- 10Pau Victor
- 17J. Milošević
- 11Gabriel Silva
- 8João Moutinho
- 2Víctor Gómez
- 77Gabri Martínez
- 34E. Tıknaz
- 6Vitor Carvalho
- 14G. Lagerbielke
- 37A. Barišić
- 31Bernardo Fontes
Famalicao
4-2-3-1- 70G. Koutsias
- 14Mathias De Amorim
- 7Sorriso
- 8Marcos Peña
- 23Gil Dias
- 21Tamás Szücs
- 17Rodrigo Pinheiro
- 28Pedro Francisco
- 4F. van Breemen
- 15Víctor Rofino
- 25L. Carević
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Braga have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeat; Famalicao have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Estoril(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Guimaraes(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nacional(away) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | GIL Vicente(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SC Braga wins, 3 draws, 1 Famalicao win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | SC Braga 2-2 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Famalicao 1-2 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Famalicao 1-1 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 16, 2024 | SC Braga 3-3 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 18, 2024 | Famalicao 1-2 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 11, 2023 | SC Braga 1-2 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: SC Braga vs Famalicao on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SC Braga score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Famalicao score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Braga | 1.4 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Famalicao | 0.9 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about SC Braga vs Famalicao?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Braga vs Famalicao?
- The Footlab AI model makes SC Braga the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Famalicao.
- Where and when is SC Braga vs Famalicao played?
- SC Braga vs Famalicao is played on October 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Braga, in the Taça da Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.