Oskarshamns AIK vs Nosaby: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra GötalandSödra Götaland - 20Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Arena Oskarshamn, Oskarshamn
The Footlab model makes Oskarshamns AIK the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Nosaby. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oskarshamns AIK vs Nosaby?
Oskarshamns AIK starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,549 vs 1,442).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oskarshamns AIK have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Nosaby have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Linero(home) | 7-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Österlen(away) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karlshamn(home) | 5-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lilla Torg(away) | 3-2 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Sölvesborg(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torns(home) | 5-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 18, 2026 | IFK Trelleborg(home) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sölvesborg(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Linero(home) | 4-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Karlskrona(away) | 1-5 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Oskarshamns AIK win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Nosaby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Nosaby 4-0 Oskarshamns AIK | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
Last archived meeting: Nosaby vs Oskarshamns AIK on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oskarshamns AIK score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nosaby score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oskarshamns AIK | 2.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Nosaby | 2.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oskarshamns AIK sit 2nd in Division 2 - Södra Götaland (24 points from 13 matches) and Nosaby sit 6th (20 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Oskarshamns AIK | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 24 |
| 2 | Oskarshamns AIK | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 45 | 20 | 36 |
| 5 | Nosaby | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 30 | 29 |
| 6 | Nosaby | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oskarshamns AIK vs Nosaby?
- The Footlab model makes Oskarshamns AIK the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Nosaby.
- Where and when is Oskarshamns AIK vs Nosaby played?
- Oskarshamns AIK vs Nosaby is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Oskarshamn, in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.