Berga vs Linero: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra GötalandSödra Götaland - 26Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bergavik IP A, Kalmar
The Footlab model makes Berga the favourite at 64%, against 18% for a draw and 18% for Linero. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Berga vs Linero?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Berga (1,442) and Linero (1,412).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Berga have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Linero have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Staffanstorp United(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torns(away) | 4-3 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Räppe(away) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 2, 2026 | IFK Trelleborg(home) | 3-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Växjö Norra(home) | 3-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oskarshamns AIK(away) | 1-7 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Räppe(home) | 5-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nosaby(away) | 0-4 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Österlen(home) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Karlshamn(home) | 3-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Berga win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Linero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Linero 1-0 Berga | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
How many goals should we expect?
Berga score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Linero score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berga | 2.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Linero | 2.0 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Berga sit 7th in Division 2 - Södra Götaland (18 points from 13 matches) and Linero sit 5th (22 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Berga | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 24 | 31 |
| 5 | Linero | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 22 |
| 6 | Linero | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 28 |
| 7 | Berga | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 18 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Berga vs Linero?
- The Footlab model makes Berga the favourite at 64%, against 18% for a draw and 18% for Linero.
- Where and when is Berga vs Linero played?
- Berga vs Linero is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Bergavik IP A, in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.