Nosaby vs Österlen: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra GötalandSödra Götaland - 26Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nya Vallbjörka, Kristianstad
The Footlab model makes Nosaby the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Österlen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nosaby vs Österlen?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Nosaby (1,442) and Österlen (1,428).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nosaby have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Österlen have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torns(home) | 5-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 18, 2026 | IFK Trelleborg(home) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sölvesborg(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Linero(home) | 4-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Karlskrona(away) | 1-5 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Räppe(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Oskarshamns AIK(home) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sölvesborg(home) | 4-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Linero(away) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Karlskrona(home) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nosaby win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Österlen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2026 | Österlen 2-1 Nosaby | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2025 | Österlen 4-1 Nosaby | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| May 30, 2025 | Nosaby 2-1 Österlen | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Nosaby 0-3 Österlen | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Österlen 1-1 Nosaby | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Nosaby 1-2 Österlen | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
How many goals should we expect?
Nosaby score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Österlen score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nosaby | 2.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
| Österlen | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nosaby sit 6th in Division 2 - Södra Götaland (20 points from 13 matches) and Österlen sit 8th (18 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nosaby | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 30 | 29 |
| 6 | Nosaby | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 20 |
| 8 | Österlen | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 18 |
| 8 | Österlen | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nosaby vs Österlen?
- The Footlab model makes Nosaby the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Österlen.
- Where and when is Nosaby vs Österlen played?
- Nosaby vs Österlen is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nya Vallbjörka, in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.