Berkhamsted vs Bracknell Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 25Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Broadwater, Berkhamsted, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Bracknell Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Berkhamsted vs Bracknell Town?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Berkhamsted (1,814) and Bracknell Town (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Berkhamsted have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Bracknell Town have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yate Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Malvern Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 0-7 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Berkhamsted win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bracknell Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Bracknell Town 1-1 Berkhamsted | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Berkhamsted 1-0 Bracknell Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Bracknell Town vs Berkhamsted on Feb 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Berkhamsted score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bracknell Town score 1.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkhamsted | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Bracknell Town | 1.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Berkhamsted sit 20th in Non League Premier - Southern South (3 points from 4 matches) and Bracknell Town sit 19th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bracknell Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
| 20 | Berkhamsted | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Berkhamsted vs Bracknell Town?
- The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Bracknell Town.
- Where and when is Berkhamsted vs Bracknell Town played?
- Berkhamsted vs Bracknell Town is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Broadwater, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2026Frome TownvsPoole Town
- Dec 26, 2026UxbridgevsChertsey Town
- Dec 26, 2026Basingstoke TownvsWimborne Town
- Dec 26, 2026Chichester CityvsGosport Borough
- Dec 26, 2026SholingvsHavant & Wville
- Dec 26, 2026Yate TownvsBath City
- Dec 26, 2026Gloucester CityvsChippenham Town
- Dec 26, 2026Hanworth VillavsHanwell Town