Yate Town vs Bath City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 25Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Jelf Stadium, Yate, South Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Bath City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yate Town vs Bath City?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Yate Town (1,778) and Bath City (1,705).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yate Town have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Bath City have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Yate Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bath City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2022 | Yate Town 0-2 Bath City | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Bath City on Jul 30, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bath City score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yate Town | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Bath City | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yate Town sit 4th in Non League Premier - Southern South (8 points from 4 matches) and Bath City sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yate Town | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Bath City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yate Town vs Bath City?
- The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Bath City.
- Where and when is Yate Town vs Bath City played?
- Yate Town vs Bath City is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Jelf Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2026BerkhamstedvsBracknell Town
- Dec 26, 2026Frome TownvsPoole Town
- Dec 26, 2026UxbridgevsChertsey Town
- Dec 26, 2026Basingstoke TownvsWimborne Town
- Dec 26, 2026Chichester CityvsGosport Borough
- Dec 26, 2026SholingvsHavant & Wville
- Dec 26, 2026Gloucester CityvsChippenham Town
- Dec 26, 2026Hanworth VillavsHanwell Town