Match

Frome Town vs Poole Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 25Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AlderSmith Stadium, Frome, Somerset

Frome TownPoole Town

The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Poole Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Frome Town vs Poole Town?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Frome Town (1,882) and Poole Town (1,823).

Frome Town win52 %
Draw23 %
Poole Town win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frome Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Poole Town have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Frome Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gosport Borough(home)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Havant & Wville(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Evesham United(away)4-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Wimborne Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Weymouth(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Poole Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Berkhamsted(away)3-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Basingstoke Town(home)0-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Sholing(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chichester City(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 14, 2026Eastleigh(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Frome Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Poole Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2025Poole Town 0-1 Frome TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Oct 19, 2024Frome Town 2-3 Poole TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Oct 30, 2021Frome Town 3-2 Poole TownFA Trophy
Oct 27, 2018Poole Town 2-1 Frome TownFA Trophy
Oct 19, 2013Frome Town 1-1 Poole TownFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Poole Town vs Frome Town on Feb 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Frome Town1.80.785/157/15
Poole Town1.31.348/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Frome Town sit 7th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Poole Town sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Frome Town4202736
11Poole Town4202566

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Frome Town vs Poole Town?
The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Poole Town.
Where and when is Frome Town vs Poole Town played?
Frome Town vs Poole Town is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at AlderSmith Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Frome Town and Poole Town

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