Frome Town vs Poole Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 25Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AlderSmith Stadium, Frome, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Poole Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frome Town vs Poole Town?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Frome Town (1,882) and Poole Town (1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frome Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Poole Town have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Weymouth(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Frome Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Poole Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Poole Town 0-1 Frome Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Frome Town 2-3 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Frome Town 3-2 Poole Town | FA Trophy |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Poole Town 2-1 Frome Town | FA Trophy |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Frome Town 1-1 Poole Town | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Poole Town vs Frome Town on Feb 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frome Town | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Poole Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frome Town sit 7th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Poole Town sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Frome Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | Poole Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frome Town vs Poole Town?
- The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Poole Town.
- Where and when is Frome Town vs Poole Town played?
- Frome Town vs Poole Town is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at AlderSmith Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2026BerkhamstedvsBracknell Town
- Dec 26, 2026UxbridgevsChertsey Town
- Dec 26, 2026Basingstoke TownvsWimborne Town
- Dec 26, 2026Chichester CityvsGosport Borough
- Dec 26, 2026SholingvsHavant & Wville
- Dec 26, 2026Yate TownvsBath City
- Dec 26, 2026Gloucester CityvsChippenham Town
- Dec 26, 2026Hanworth VillavsHanwell Town