Uxbridge vs Chertsey Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 25Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Honeycroft, London
The Footlab model makes Uxbridge the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Chertsey Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uxbridge vs Chertsey Town?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Uxbridge (1,823) and Chertsey Town (1,843).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uxbridge have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Chertsey Town have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Taunton Town(home) | 5-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gosport Borough(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Westfield (Surrey)(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Uxbridge win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Chertsey Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Uxbridge 0-1 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Chertsey Town 3-3 Uxbridge | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Uxbridge 0-3 Chertsey Town | FA Trophy |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Uxbridge 0-6 Chertsey Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Chertsey Town 2-1 Uxbridge | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Uxbridge 2-0 Chertsey Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
Last archived meeting: Uxbridge vs Chertsey Town on Jan 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Uxbridge score 2.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uxbridge | 2.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Chertsey Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uxbridge sit 2nd in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 4 matches) and Chertsey Town sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uxbridge vs Chertsey Town?
- The Footlab model makes Uxbridge the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Chertsey Town.
- Where and when is Uxbridge vs Chertsey Town played?
- Uxbridge vs Chertsey Town is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Honeycroft, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2026BerkhamstedvsBracknell Town
- Dec 26, 2026Frome TownvsPoole Town
- Dec 26, 2026Basingstoke TownvsWimborne Town
- Dec 26, 2026Chichester CityvsGosport Borough
- Dec 26, 2026SholingvsHavant & Wville
- Dec 26, 2026Yate TownvsBath City
- Dec 26, 2026Gloucester CityvsChippenham Town
- Dec 26, 2026Hanworth VillavsHanwell Town