Uxbridge vs Chertsey Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 25Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Honeycroft, London
The Footlab AI model makes Uxbridge the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Chertsey Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Uxbridge wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,785 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uxbridge vs Chertsey Town?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Uxbridge (1,891) and Chertsey Town (1,871).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Uxbridge vs Chertsey Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Uxbridge
Not enough data to predict the Uxbridge lineup.
Chertsey Town
Not enough data to predict the Chertsey Town lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uxbridge have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Chertsey Town have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(home) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hungerford Town(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lewes(home) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sheppey United(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Uxbridge win, 1 draw, 4 Chertsey Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Uxbridge 0-1 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Chertsey Town 3-3 Uxbridge | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Uxbridge 0-3 Chertsey Town | FA Trophy |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Uxbridge 0-6 Chertsey Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Chertsey Town 2-1 Uxbridge | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Uxbridge 2-0 Chertsey Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
Last archived meeting: Uxbridge vs Chertsey Town on Jan 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Uxbridge score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uxbridge | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Chertsey Town | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uxbridge sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Southern South (23 points from 10 matches) and Chertsey Town sit 9th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Uxbridge | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 23 |
| 9 | Chertsey Town | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 16 |
A question about Uxbridge vs Chertsey Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uxbridge vs Chertsey Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Uxbridge the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Chertsey Town.
- Where and when is Uxbridge vs Chertsey Town played?
- Uxbridge vs Chertsey Town is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Honeycroft, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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