Frome Town vs Evesham United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AlderSmith Stadium, Frome, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Evesham United. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frome Town vs Evesham United?
Frome Town starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,914 vs 1,746).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frome Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Evesham United have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Weymouth(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chichester City(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bishop's Cleeve(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Frome Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Evesham United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Evesham United 0-4 Frome Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Evesham United 2-3 Frome Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Frome Town 3-2 Evesham United | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Evesham United 1-0 Frome Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Frome Town 1-0 Evesham United | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Frome Town 1-1 Evesham United | Non League Div One - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Evesham United vs Frome Town on Aug 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frome Town | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Evesham United | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frome Town sit 7th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Evesham United sit 12th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Frome Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 | Evesham United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frome Town vs Evesham United?
- The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Evesham United.
- Where and when is Frome Town vs Evesham United played?
- Frome Town vs Evesham United is played on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at AlderSmith Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 26, 2027BerkhamstedvsChertsey Town
- Mar 26, 2027UxbridgevsHavant & Wville
- Mar 26, 2027Basingstoke TownvsHanwell Town
- Mar 26, 2027Chichester CityvsWimborne Town
- Mar 26, 2027SholingvsPoole Town
- Mar 26, 2027Yate TownvsChippenham Town
- Mar 26, 2027Gloucester CityvsBracknell Town
- Mar 26, 2027Hanworth VillavsGosport Borough