Berkhamsted vs Gosport Borough: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Broadwater, Berkhamsted, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Gosport Borough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Berkhamsted vs Gosport Borough?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Berkhamsted (1,814) and Gosport Borough (1,727).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Berkhamsted have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Gosport Borough have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Uxbridge(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yate Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 3-6 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Berkhamsted win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gosport Borough win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Berkhamsted 2-1 Gosport Borough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Gosport Borough 3-1 Berkhamsted | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Berkhamsted vs Gosport Borough on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Berkhamsted score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gosport Borough score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkhamsted | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Gosport Borough | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Berkhamsted sit 20th in Non League Premier - Southern South (3 points from 4 matches) and Gosport Borough sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Gosport Borough | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 20 | Berkhamsted | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Berkhamsted vs Gosport Borough?
- The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Gosport Borough.
- Where and when is Berkhamsted vs Gosport Borough played?
- Berkhamsted vs Gosport Borough is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Broadwater, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026Taunton TownvsWimborne Town
- Oct 3, 2026Basingstoke TownvsSholing
- Oct 3, 2026Bracknell TownvsChertsey Town
- Oct 3, 2026Chichester CityvsGloucester City
- Oct 3, 2026Hanwell TownvsBath City
- Oct 3, 2026Poole TownvsEvesham United
- Oct 3, 2026Yate TownvsFrome Town
- Oct 3, 2026Chippenham TownvsHavant & Wville