Yate Town vs Frome Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Jelf Stadium, Yate, South Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Yate Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yate Town vs Frome Town?
Frome Town starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,882 vs 1,778).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yate Town have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Frome Town have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Weymouth(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Yate Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Frome Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | Frome Town 2-0 Yate Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Yate Town 0-1 Frome Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Frome Town 1-0 Yate Town | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Frome Town vs Yate Town on Mar 16, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yate Town | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Frome Town | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yate Town sit 4th in Non League Premier - Southern South (8 points from 4 matches) and Frome Town sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yate Town | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Frome Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yate Town vs Frome Town?
- The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Yate Town.
- Where and when is Yate Town vs Frome Town played?
- Yate Town vs Frome Town is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Jelf Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026Taunton TownvsWimborne Town
- Oct 3, 2026BerkhamstedvsGosport Borough
- Oct 3, 2026Basingstoke TownvsSholing
- Oct 3, 2026Bracknell TownvsChertsey Town
- Oct 3, 2026Chichester CityvsGloucester City
- Oct 3, 2026Hanwell TownvsBath City
- Oct 3, 2026Poole TownvsEvesham United
- Oct 3, 2026Chippenham TownvsHavant & Wville