Basingstoke Town vs Sholing: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Charters Community Stadium, Winchester, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Sholing the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basingstoke Town vs Sholing?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Basingstoke Town (1,716) and Sholing (1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basingstoke Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Sholing have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Basingstoke Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sholing win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Basingstoke Town 1-0 Sholing | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Sholing 1-4 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Sholing 2-2 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Basingstoke Town 1-1 Sholing | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Basingstoke Town 1-3 Sholing | FA Cup |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Basingstoke Town 1-2 Sholing | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Basingstoke Town vs Sholing on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sholing score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basingstoke Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Sholing | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basingstoke Town sit 10th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Sholing sit 17th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Basingstoke Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 17 | Sholing | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basingstoke Town vs Sholing?
- The Footlab model makes Sholing the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Basingstoke Town.
- Where and when is Basingstoke Town vs Sholing played?
- Basingstoke Town vs Sholing is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Charters Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026Taunton TownvsWimborne Town
- Oct 3, 2026BerkhamstedvsGosport Borough
- Oct 3, 2026Bracknell TownvsChertsey Town
- Oct 3, 2026Chichester CityvsGloucester City
- Oct 3, 2026Hanwell TownvsBath City
- Oct 3, 2026Poole TownvsEvesham United
- Oct 3, 2026Yate TownvsFrome Town
- Oct 3, 2026Chippenham TownvsHavant & Wville