Match

Basingstoke Town vs Sholing: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Charters Community Stadium, Winchester, Hampshire

Basingstoke TownSholing

The Footlab model makes Sholing the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Basingstoke Town vs Sholing?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Basingstoke Town (1,716) and Sholing (1,802).

Basingstoke Town win30 %
Draw26 %
Sholing win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basingstoke Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Sholing have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Basingstoke Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bath City(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Poole Town(away)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Hanwell Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Evesham United(home)2-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 25, 2026Hanwell Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Sholing
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chertsey Town(home)2-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Hanwell Town(away)0-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Poole Town(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Bath City(home)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 25, 2026Folkestone Invicta(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Basingstoke Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sholing win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 6, 2026Basingstoke Town 1-0 SholingNon League Premier - Southern South
Dec 27, 2025Sholing 1-4 Basingstoke TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Mar 15, 2025Sholing 2-2 Basingstoke TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Sep 21, 2024Basingstoke Town 1-1 SholingNon League Premier - Southern South
Aug 31, 2024Basingstoke Town 1-3 SholingFA Cup
Dec 2, 2023Basingstoke Town 1-2 SholingNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Basingstoke Town vs Sholing on Apr 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sholing score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Basingstoke Town1.71.749/1510/15
Sholing1.31.368/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Basingstoke Town sit 10th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Sholing sit 17th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Basingstoke Town4202666
17Sholing4112464

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Basingstoke Town vs Sholing?
The Footlab model makes Sholing the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Basingstoke Town.
Where and when is Basingstoke Town vs Sholing played?
Basingstoke Town vs Sholing is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Charters Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Basingstoke Town and Sholing

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