Hanwell Town vs Bath City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Powerday Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes Hanwell Town the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Bath City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hanwell Town vs Bath City?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Hanwell Town (1,752) and Bath City (1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hanwell Town have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Bath City have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Malvern Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Hanwell Town score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bath City score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanwell Town | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Bath City | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hanwell Town sit 13th in Non League Premier - Southern South (5 points from 4 matches) and Bath City sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bath City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 | Hanwell Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hanwell Town vs Bath City?
- The Footlab model makes Hanwell Town the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Bath City.
- Where and when is Hanwell Town vs Bath City played?
- Hanwell Town vs Bath City is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Powerday Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026Taunton TownvsWimborne Town
- Oct 3, 2026BerkhamstedvsGosport Borough
- Oct 3, 2026Basingstoke TownvsSholing
- Oct 3, 2026Bracknell TownvsChertsey Town
- Oct 3, 2026Chichester CityvsGloucester City
- Oct 3, 2026Poole TownvsEvesham United
- Oct 3, 2026Yate TownvsFrome Town
- Oct 3, 2026Chippenham TownvsHavant & Wville