Beroe vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora
The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beroe vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Beroe (1,657) and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beroe have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(home) | 3-0 | Second League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Ludogorets II(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hebar 1918(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Beroe win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1-0 Beroe | Second League |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Beroe 3-1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Beroe on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Beroe score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chernomorets 1919 Burgas score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beroe | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beroe sit 6th in Second League (9 points from 5 matches) and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Beroe | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 15 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beroe vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
- The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.
- Where and when is Beroe vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas played?
- Beroe vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Beroe, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.