Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora
The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Pirin Blagoevgrad. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Beroe starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,657 vs 1,529).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beroe have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Ludogorets II(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Zagorets(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 0-7 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 1-5 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Beroe win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | Beroe 2-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad | First League |
| Nov 3, 2023 | Beroe 0-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad | First League |
| Jul 14, 2023 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-2 Beroe | First League |
| May 31, 2023 | Beroe 1-1 Pirin Blagoevgrad | First League |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Beroe 1-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad | First League |
| Oct 7, 2022 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-0 Beroe | First League |
Last archived meeting: Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad on May 12, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Beroe score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beroe | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0.8 | 2.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beroe sit 11th in Second League (6 points from 4 matches) and Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th (0 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Beroe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
- The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
- Where and when is Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad played?
- Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Beroe, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Etar Veliko TarnovovsMontana
- Nov 7, 2026Ludogorets IIvsNesebar
- Nov 7, 2026CSKA Sofia IIvsRilski Sportist
- Nov 7, 2026Spartak PlevenvsDobrudzha
- Nov 7, 2026Hebar 1918vsMarek
- Nov 7, 2026VihrenvsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Nov 7, 2026Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsYantra 2019
- Nov 7, 2026FratriavsSportist Svoge