Match

Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora

BeroePirin Blagoevgrad

The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Pirin Blagoevgrad. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?

Beroe starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,657 vs 1,529).

Beroe win57 %
Draw25 %
Pirin Blagoevgrad win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beroe have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Beroe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Fratria(away)0-2Second League
Aug 10, 2026Ludogorets II(home)2-0Second League
Aug 1, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away)0-1Second League
Jul 24, 2026Hebar 1918(home)2-1Second League
Jul 18, 2026Zagorets(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Pirin Blagoevgrad
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Nesebar(away)0-7Second League
Aug 18, 2026Hebar 1918(home)2-3Second League
Aug 9, 2026Sportist Svoge(away)0-1Second League
Aug 3, 2026CSKA Sofia II(home)0-3Second League
Jul 28, 2026Dobrudzha(away)1-5Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Beroe win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 12, 2024Beroe 2-0 Pirin BlagoevgradFirst League
Nov 3, 2023Beroe 0-0 Pirin BlagoevgradFirst League
Jul 14, 2023Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-2 BeroeFirst League
May 31, 2023Beroe 1-1 Pirin BlagoevgradFirst League
Apr 30, 2023Beroe 1-0 Pirin BlagoevgradFirst League
Oct 7, 2022Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-0 BeroeFirst League

Last archived meeting: Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad on May 12, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Beroe score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Beroe1.01.156/157/15
Pirin Blagoevgrad0.82.145/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Beroe sit 11th in Second League (6 points from 4 matches) and Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th (0 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Beroe4202446
18Pirin Blagoevgrad50053190

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
Where and when is Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad played?
Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Beroe, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Beroe and Pirin Blagoevgrad

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