Fratria vs Sportist Svoge: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Albena-1, Albena
The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 9% for Sportist Svoge. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fratria vs Sportist Svoge?
Fratria starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,727 vs 1,542).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fratria have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Sportist Svoge have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Marek(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Montana(home) | 2-2 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Fratria win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Sportist Svoge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Sportist Svoge 0-3 Fratria | Second League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Fratria 2-1 Sportist Svoge | Second League |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Fratria 2-0 Sportist Svoge | Second League |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Sportist Svoge 0-1 Fratria | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Sportist Svoge vs Fratria on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fratria score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sportist Svoge score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fratria | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Sportist Svoge | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fratria sit 3rd in Second League (10 points from 5 matches) and Sportist Svoge sit 16th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Fratria | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fratria vs Sportist Svoge?
- The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 9% for Sportist Svoge.
- Where and when is Fratria vs Sportist Svoge played?
- Fratria vs Sportist Svoge is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Albena-1, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Etar Veliko TarnovovsMontana
- Nov 7, 2026BeroevsPirin Blagoevgrad
- Nov 7, 2026Ludogorets IIvsNesebar
- Nov 7, 2026CSKA Sofia IIvsRilski Sportist
- Nov 7, 2026Spartak PlevenvsDobrudzha
- Nov 7, 2026Hebar 1918vsMarek
- Nov 7, 2026VihrenvsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Nov 7, 2026Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsYantra 2019