Hebar 1918 vs Marek: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Pazardzhik
The Footlab model makes Hebar 1918 the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Marek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hebar 1918 vs Marek?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Hebar 1918 (1,565) and Marek (1,644).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hebar 1918 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Marek have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(away) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 3-4 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vihren(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 4-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Montana(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hebar 1918 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Marek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Hebar 1918 1-1 Marek | Second League |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Marek 2-0 Hebar 1918 | Second League |
| May 14, 2022 | Hebar 1918 3-0 Marek | Second League |
| Nov 19, 2021 | Marek 2-0 Hebar 1918 | Second League |
| Apr 20, 2019 | Hebar 1918 3-1 Marek | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Marek 0-1 Hebar 1918 | Third League - Southwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Hebar 1918 score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hebar 1918 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Marek | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hebar 1918 sit 12th in Second League (6 points from 5 matches) and Marek sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Marek | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Hebar 1918 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hebar 1918 vs Marek?
- The Footlab model makes Hebar 1918 the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Marek.
- Where and when is Hebar 1918 vs Marek played?
- Hebar 1918 vs Marek is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Etar Veliko TarnovovsMontana
- Nov 7, 2026BeroevsPirin Blagoevgrad
- Nov 7, 2026Ludogorets IIvsNesebar
- Nov 7, 2026CSKA Sofia IIvsRilski Sportist
- Nov 7, 2026Spartak PlevenvsDobrudzha
- Nov 7, 2026VihrenvsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Nov 7, 2026Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsYantra 2019
- Nov 7, 2026FratriavsSportist Svoge