Match

Hebar 1918 vs Marek: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Pazardzhik

Hebar 1918Marek

The Footlab model makes Hebar 1918 the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Marek. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hebar 1918 vs Marek?

A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Hebar 1918 (1,565) and Marek (1,644).

Hebar 1918 win41 %
Draw27 %
Marek win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hebar 1918 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Marek have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hebar 1918
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home)1-0Second League
Aug 18, 2026Pirin Blagoevgrad(away)3-2Second League
Aug 11, 2026CSKA Sofia II(away)3-4Second League
Aug 2, 2026Vihren(home)2-3Second League
Jul 24, 2026Beroe(away)1-2Second League
Marek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Dobrudzha(home)4-2Second League
Aug 16, 2026Montana(away)0-1Second League
Aug 7, 2026Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)0-1Second League
Aug 1, 2026Spartak Pleven(away)1-2Second League
Jul 25, 2026Fratria(away)1-0Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hebar 1918 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Marek win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 15, 2026Hebar 1918 1-1 MarekSecond League
Nov 16, 2025Marek 2-0 Hebar 1918Second League
May 14, 2022Hebar 1918 3-0 MarekSecond League
Nov 19, 2021Marek 2-0 Hebar 1918Second League
Apr 20, 2019Hebar 1918 3-1 MarekThird League - Southwest
Oct 20, 2018Marek 0-1 Hebar 1918Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Hebar 1918 vs Marek on May 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hebar 1918 score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hebar 19181.41.8310/159/15
Marek1.00.974/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hebar 1918 sit 12th in Second League (6 points from 5 matches) and Marek sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Marek5203666
12Hebar 1918520310116

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hebar 1918 vs Marek?
The Footlab model makes Hebar 1918 the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Marek.
Where and when is Hebar 1918 vs Marek played?
Hebar 1918 vs Marek is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hebar 1918 and Marek

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