Where and when is Ludogorets II vs Nesebar played?

Ludogorets II vs Nesebar is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sporten tsentar Ludogorets, in the Second League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ludogorets II vs Nesebar: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sporten tsentar Ludogorets, Razgrad

Ludogorets II

Nesebar

The Footlab model makes Ludogorets II the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Nesebar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ludogorets II vs Nesebar?

A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Ludogorets II (1,629) and Nesebar (1,708).

Ludogorets II win37 %

Draw28 %

Nesebar win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ludogorets II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Nesebar have 12, 0 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ludogorets II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Vihren(home)	0-2	Second League
Aug 10, 2026	Beroe(away)	0-2	Second League
Aug 3, 2026	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home)	2-1	Second League
Jul 28, 2026	Rilski Sportist(away)	1-0	Second League
Jul 4, 2026	Yantra 2019(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs

Nesebar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Pirin Blagoevgrad(home)	7-0	Second League
Aug 16, 2026	Sportist Svoge(away)	1-0	Second League
Aug 10, 2026	Dobrudzha(home)	2-0	Second League
Aug 4, 2026	Montana(away)	1-3	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home)	1-5	Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ludogorets II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Nesebar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 2, 2025	Ludogorets II 2-0 Nesebar	Second League
Sep 21, 2024	Nesebar 2-2 Ludogorets II	Second League
Dec 3, 2018	Ludogorets II 4-1 Nesebar	Second League
Jul 29, 2018	Nesebar 4-2 Ludogorets II	Second League
Mar 4, 2018	Ludogorets II 0-2 Nesebar	Second League
Aug 13, 2017	Nesebar 3-1 Ludogorets II	Second League

Last archived meeting: Ludogorets II vs Nesebar on Apr 2, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Ludogorets II score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nesebar score 3.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ludogorets II	1.3	1.3	3	9/15	7/15
Nesebar	3.7	1.1	7	7/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ludogorets II sit 13th in Second League (6 points from 4 matches) and Nesebar sit 3rd (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Nesebar	5	3	0	2	12	8	9
13	Ludogorets II	4	2	0	2	3	5	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ludogorets II vs Nesebar?: The Footlab model makes Ludogorets II the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Nesebar.
Where and when is Ludogorets II vs Nesebar played?: Ludogorets II vs Nesebar is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sporten tsentar Ludogorets, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.