Beti Kozkor vs Subiza: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Complejo Deportivo Plazaola, Lekunberri
The Footlab model makes Beti Kozkor the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Subiza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beti Kozkor vs Subiza?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Beti Kozkor (1,770) and Subiza (1,820).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beti Kozkor have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Subiza have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Subiza(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | San Juan(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Beti Onak(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ardoi(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Izarra(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 17, 2026 | Izarra(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 9, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Peña Sport(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Valle Egüés(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Beti Kozkor win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Subiza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Beti Kozkor 0-0 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Subiza 1-0 Beti Kozkor | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Subiza 4-1 Beti Kozkor | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Beti Kozkor 0-2 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Beti Kozkor 1-4 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Subiza 5-1 Beti Kozkor | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
How many goals should we expect?
Beti Kozkor score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Subiza score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beti Kozkor | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Subiza | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beti Kozkor sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (46 points from 34 matches) and Subiza sit 4th (54 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Subiza | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 46 | 31 | 54 |
| 7 | Beti Kozkor | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 51 | 44 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beti Kozkor vs Subiza?
- The Footlab model makes Beti Kozkor the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Subiza.
- Where and when is Beti Kozkor vs Subiza played?
- Beti Kozkor vs Subiza is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Complejo Deportivo Plazaola, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.