Izarra vs Txantrea: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Merkatondoa, Estella (Lizarra)
The Footlab AI model makes Izarra the favourite at 87%, against 9% for a draw and 4% for Txantrea. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Izarra vs Txantrea?
Izarra starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,650).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Izarra vs Txantrea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Izarra
Not enough data to predict the Izarra lineup.
Txantrea
Not enough data to predict the Txantrea lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Izarra have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Txantrea have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pamplona(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cortes(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bidezarra(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | San Juan(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Cortes(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bidezarra(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | San Juan(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cirbonero(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Izarra wins, 0 draws, 0 Txantrea wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Txantrea 1-2 Izarra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Izarra 4-1 Txantrea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
How many goals should we expect?
Izarra score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Txantrea score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izarra | 2.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Txantrea | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Izarra sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (18 points from 6 matches) and Txantrea sit 11th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izarra | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 18 |
| 11 | Txantrea | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
A question about Izarra vs Txantrea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Izarra vs Txantrea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Izarra the favourite at 87%, against 9% for a draw and 4% for Txantrea.
- Where and when is Izarra vs Txantrea played?
- Izarra vs Txantrea is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Merkatondoa, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.