Bidezarra vs Mutilvera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Campo Bidezarra de Noain, Noain
The Footlab AI model makes Bidezarra the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Mutilvera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bidezarra wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,356 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bidezarra vs Mutilvera?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Bidezarra (1,642) and Mutilvera (1,733).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bidezarra vs Mutilvera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bidezarra
Not enough data to predict the Bidezarra lineup.
Mutilvera
Not enough data to predict the Mutilvera lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 07:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bidezarra have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Mutilvera have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Subiza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Beti Onak(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Txantrea(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Izarra(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cortes(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | San Juan(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cirbonero(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Valle Egüés(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bidezarra wins, 0 draws, 2 Mutilvera wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Mutilvera 1-0 Bidezarra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Bidezarra 1-2 Mutilvera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Mutilvera vs Bidezarra on Mar 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Bidezarra score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mutilvera score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bidezarra | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Mutilvera | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bidezarra sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (3 points from 5 matches) and Mutilvera sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mutilvera | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
| 16 | Bidezarra | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
A question about Bidezarra vs Mutilvera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bidezarra vs Mutilvera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bidezarra the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Mutilvera.
- Where and when is Bidezarra vs Mutilvera played?
- Bidezarra vs Mutilvera is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Bidezarra de Noain, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.