BFC Daugavpils vs Daugavpils / Progress: result 0-1 and analysis
VirsligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on April 26, 2014 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils
Full time
What was the result of BFC Daugavpils vs Daugavpils / Progress?
Daugavpils / Progress won 0-1 on April 26, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 77′Giorgi KhumarashviliDaugavpils / Progress
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BFC Daugavpils have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Daugavpils / Progress have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2014 | Skonto(away) | 1-3 | Virsliga |
| Apr 16, 2014 | Daugava Rīga(home) | 3-2 | Virsliga |
| Apr 5, 2014 | Metta / LU(away) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Mar 29, 2014 | FK Liepaja(home) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Mar 23, 2014 | Spartaks Jurmala(away) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2014 | Metta / LU(home) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Apr 13, 2014 | Daugava Rīga(home) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Apr 9, 2014 | FC Jūrmala(home) | 2-0 | Virsliga |
| Mar 30, 2014 | Jelgava(home) | 1-2 | Virsliga |
| Nov 9, 2013 | Metta / LU(away) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
How many goals should we expect?
BFC Daugavpils score 3.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Daugavpils / Progress score 1.5 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFC Daugavpils | 3.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Daugavpils / Progress | 1.5 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy