Match

BFC Preussen vs Chemnitzer FC: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 19Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Preußenstadion, Berlin

BFC PreussenChemnitzer FC

The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for BFC Preussen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win BFC Preussen vs Chemnitzer FC?

Chemnitzer FC starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,972 vs 1,853).

BFC Preussen win26 %
Draw24 %
Chemnitzer FC win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BFC Preussen have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Chemnitzer FC have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

BFC Preussen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026BFC Dynamo(away)0-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026Greifswalder FC(home)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(away)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026Chemnitzer FC(away)0-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Chemnitzer FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(away)2-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(home)3-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026Hallescher FC(away)0-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026FSV Zwickau(home)3-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026BFC Preussen(home)3-0Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 BFC Preussen win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Chemnitzer FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2026Chemnitzer FC 3-0 BFC PreussenRegionalliga - Nordost
Apr 8, 2026BFC Preussen 2-1 Chemnitzer FCRegionalliga - Nordost
Aug 30, 2025Chemnitzer FC 1-1 BFC PreussenRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Chemnitzer FC vs BFC Preussen on Jul 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

BFC Preussen score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chemnitzer FC score 2.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
BFC Preussen1.61.719/159/15
Chemnitzer FC2.41.069/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

BFC Preussen sit 17th in Regionalliga - Nordost (2 points from 5 matches) and Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd (13 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Chemnitzer FC541013213
17BFC Preussen5023492

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for BFC Preussen vs Chemnitzer FC?
The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for BFC Preussen.
Where and when is BFC Preussen vs Chemnitzer FC played?
BFC Preussen vs Chemnitzer FC is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Preußenstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: BFC Preussen and Chemnitzer FC

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