BFC Preussen vs Chemnitzer FC: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 19Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Preußenstadion, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for BFC Preussen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BFC Preussen vs Chemnitzer FC?
Chemnitzer FC starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,972 vs 1,853).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BFC Preussen have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Chemnitzer FC have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 BFC Preussen win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Chemnitzer FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC 3-0 BFC Preussen | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 8, 2026 | BFC Preussen 2-1 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Chemnitzer FC 1-1 BFC Preussen | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Chemnitzer FC vs BFC Preussen on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BFC Preussen score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chemnitzer FC score 2.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFC Preussen | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Chemnitzer FC | 2.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BFC Preussen sit 17th in Regionalliga - Nordost (2 points from 5 matches) and Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 13 |
| 17 | BFC Preussen | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BFC Preussen vs Chemnitzer FC?
- The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for BFC Preussen.
- Where and when is BFC Preussen vs Chemnitzer FC played?
- BFC Preussen vs Chemnitzer FC is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Preußenstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsTasmania Berlin
- Dec 6, 2026FC Carl Zeiss JenavsSV Babelsberg 03
- Dec 6, 2026FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsHallescher FC
- Dec 6, 2026BSG Chemie LeipzigvsBFC Dynamo
- Dec 6, 2026Hertha BSC IIvsAltglienicke
- Dec 6, 2026LuckenwaldevsRSV Eintracht
- Dec 6, 2026Greifswalder FCvsFSV Zwickau
- Dec 6, 2026Magdeburg IIvsLokomotive Leipzig