BSG Chemie Leipzig vs BFC Dynamo: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 19Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, Leipzig
The Footlab model makes BFC Dynamo the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for BSG Chemie Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs BFC Dynamo?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate BSG Chemie Leipzig (1,804) and BFC Dynamo (1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BSG Chemie Leipzig have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; BFC Dynamo have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 BSG Chemie Leipzig win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 BFC Dynamo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | BFC Dynamo 2-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 13, 2026 | BFC Dynamo 2-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 19, 2025 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 2-0 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 7, 2025 | BFC Dynamo 2-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 21, 2024 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-0 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 12, 2024 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-1 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: BFC Dynamo vs BSG Chemie Leipzig on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Dynamo score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| BFC Dynamo | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 18th in Regionalliga - Nordost (1 points from 5 matches) and BFC Dynamo sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | BFC Dynamo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 18 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs BFC Dynamo?
- The Footlab model makes BFC Dynamo the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for BSG Chemie Leipzig.
- Where and when is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs BFC Dynamo played?
- BSG Chemie Leipzig vs BFC Dynamo is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsTasmania Berlin
- Dec 6, 2026FC Carl Zeiss JenavsSV Babelsberg 03
- Dec 6, 2026FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsHallescher FC
- Dec 6, 2026BFC PreussenvsChemnitzer FC
- Dec 6, 2026Hertha BSC IIvsAltglienicke
- Dec 6, 2026LuckenwaldevsRSV Eintracht
- Dec 6, 2026Greifswalder FCvsFSV Zwickau
- Dec 6, 2026Magdeburg IIvsLokomotive Leipzig