BSG Chemie Leipzig vs BFC Dynamo: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 19Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, Leipzig
The Footlab AI model makes BFC Dynamo the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for BSG Chemie Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1. If BFC Dynamo wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,608 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs BFC Dynamo?
BFC Dynamo starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,939 vs 1,821).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs BFC Dynamo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
BSG Chemie Leipzig
Not enough data to predict the BSG Chemie Leipzig lineup.
BFC Dynamo
Not enough data to predict the BFC Dynamo lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 06:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BSG Chemie Leipzig have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; BFC Dynamo have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Luckenwalde(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Altglienicke(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 BSG Chemie Leipzig wins, 1 draw, 3 BFC Dynamo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | BFC Dynamo 2-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 13, 2026 | BFC Dynamo 2-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 19, 2025 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 2-0 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 7, 2025 | BFC Dynamo 2-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 21, 2024 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-0 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 12, 2024 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-1 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: BFC Dynamo vs BSG Chemie Leipzig on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Dynamo score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| BFC Dynamo | 1.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 15th in Regionalliga - Nordost (9 points from 12 matches) and BFC Dynamo sit 4th (24 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | BFC Dynamo | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 24 |
| 15 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 9 |
A question about BSG Chemie Leipzig vs BFC Dynamo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs BFC Dynamo?
- The Footlab AI model makes BFC Dynamo the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for BSG Chemie Leipzig.
- Where and when is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs BFC Dynamo played?
- BSG Chemie Leipzig vs BFC Dynamo is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsTasmania Berlin
- Dec 6, 2026FC Carl Zeiss JenavsSV Babelsberg 03
- Dec 6, 2026FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsHallescher FC
- Dec 6, 2026BFC PreussenvsChemnitzer FC
- Dec 6, 2026Hertha BSC IIvsAltglienicke
- Dec 6, 2026LuckenwaldevsRSV Eintracht
- Dec 6, 2026Greifswalder FCvsFSV Zwickau
- Dec 6, 2026Magdeburg IIvsLokomotive Leipzig