Magdeburg II vs Lokomotive Leipzig: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 19Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Platz 2 MCDD-Arena, Magdeburg
The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Magdeburg II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Magdeburg II vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Magdeburg II (1,927) and Lokomotive Leipzig (1,971).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Magdeburg II have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Lokomotive Leipzig have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Luckenwalde(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Magdeburg II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig 3-3 Magdeburg II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 16, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig 5-2 Magdeburg II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Magdeburg II 1-5 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jan 15, 2024 | Lokomotive Leipzig 2-1 Magdeburg II | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotive Leipzig vs Magdeburg II on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Magdeburg II score 2.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg II | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Lokomotive Leipzig | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Magdeburg II sit 4th in Regionalliga - Nordost (10 points from 6 matches) and Lokomotive Leipzig sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Magdeburg II | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
| 6 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Magdeburg II vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Magdeburg II.
- Where and when is Magdeburg II vs Lokomotive Leipzig played?
- Magdeburg II vs Lokomotive Leipzig is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Platz 2 MCDD-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsTasmania Berlin
- Dec 6, 2026FC Carl Zeiss JenavsSV Babelsberg 03
- Dec 6, 2026FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsHallescher FC
- Dec 6, 2026BFC PreussenvsChemnitzer FC
- Dec 6, 2026BSG Chemie LeipzigvsBFC Dynamo
- Dec 6, 2026Hertha BSC IIvsAltglienicke
- Dec 6, 2026LuckenwaldevsRSV Eintracht
- Dec 6, 2026Greifswalder FCvsFSV Zwickau